YOUR AUDIENCE. YOUR MARKETS. YOUR REVENUE.
Turn your Telegram channel into a prediction market. Set your fee. Watch it earn.
WHAT IS A CREATOR?
A Creator is a Telegram channel admin who deploys prediction markets for their audience. You define the question, set the resolution criteria, configure your fee, and promote the market to your community. When your audience trades — you earn.
Any Telegram user can apply. No minimum audience size.
You set your own creator fee between 0% and 2% per buy order.
You control market difficulty via the Volatility parameter.
You resolve markets — your original criteria is your word.
HOW IT WORKS
APPLY IN-APP
Open the Likely Markets Telegram Mini App and submit your creator application. Approval is fast. No minimum follower count required.
POST YOUR BOND
Each market requires a refundable $10 bond. It's returned when you resolve honestly. It's your skin in the game — and your community's guarantee.
DEPLOY YOUR MARKET
Define the event, outcomes, resolution criteria, your fee (0–2%), and volatility level. Your market goes live instantly.
PROMOTE TO YOUR AUDIENCE
Share your market to your Telegram channel. Your audience participates. Every buy order earns you your configured fee — automatically.
RESOLVE AND EARN
When the event concludes, you select the winning outcome. A 2-hour dispute window opens. If unchallenged, payouts process and your bond returns.
HOW YOU EARN
Your creator fee is collected automatically on every buy order in your market. No delays. No thresholds. Real-time.
Creators with large loyal audiences can charge premium fees. Creators targeting high volume can lower fees to attract more participation. You set the strategy.
Per market. Automatically. With zero active management after deployment.
VOLATILITY CONTROL
When you create a market, you set a Volatility Level between 1 and 10. This controls how dramatically prices move in response to trades — giving you full control over the market's character.
HIGH VOLATILITY
Prices swing hard. Exciting, fast-moving markets. Best for engaged communities who love price action.
BALANCED
Stable but responsive. The default choice for most markets. Works for any audience type.
HIGH STABILITY
Prices move slowly. Deep, liquid feel. Best for large audiences and serious predictors.
BUILT-IN INTEGRITY
The dispute system protects your participants and keeps the marketplace honest — without requiring platform moderation at scale.
$10 CREATOR BOND
Posted per market. Returned on honest resolution. Forfeited if a dispute proves you wrong.
2-HOUR DISPUTE WINDOW
After you resolve, participants have 2 hours to challenge. A $2 bond and evidence link is required to file.
STRIKE SYSTEM
Three upheld disputes means permanent ban from the creator role. Honesty is not optional.
MARKET FREEZE
A filed dispute pauses all trading instantly. No one can exit before the investigation concludes.
COMMON QUESTIONS
CREATE YOUR FIRST MARKET
Open the Likely Markets Mini App on Telegram and submit your creator application.
BECOME A CREATORBy becoming a creator you agree to the Creator Agreement and Market Creation Guidelines.